STUDY ON CHARACTERISTICS OF MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN NINH THUAN PROVINCE

  • Nguyen Hoang Tuan
  • Truong Thanh Canh
Từ khóa: Climate Change; Mann-Kendall; Non-parametric statistics; Theil-Sen

Tóm tắt

The study aims to analyze change characteristics and predict the maximum and minimum temperature in Ninh Thuan in climate change. In this study, the author used non-parametric statistics with, Mann-Kendall and Theil-Sen. The results show the maximum temperature decreased in May, July, and August in the range of 0.0070C per year to 0.030C per year, increasing in the remaining months with an increasing amplitude from 0.0060C per year to 0.050C. The results with the lowest minimum temperature also showed that July, August, and three months tended to decrease with the temperature range from 0.00250C per year to 0.01360C per year, and the remaining months increased from 0.010C per year to 0.10C per year. In addition, the results of prediction the trend of minimum and maximum temperature change with the Climate Change scenario show that it is consistent with the low emission scenario (B1) and the RCP 4.5 scenario. The research results have contributed to supplementing the scientific basis of changing trends and predictions in hydrometeorology, helping develop adaptation options and solutions in climate conditions.

điểm /   đánh giá
Phát hành ngày
2022-05-13